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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$243K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus44% (12 of 27 open)66% (105 of 160 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1299)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3086)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4188)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $44Steelers $5.5K—Browns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $32Jets $192—Raiders $171K
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $9——Bills $378K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Steelers $10——Browns $297K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11K—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400—Raiders $17K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $11Yes $12K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9K—Falcons $8.6K
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9Under $5.9K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $2.6K——
Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $19Under $2.2K——
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $25Falcons $1.8K——
Will Royal Charleroi SC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $75No $33——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3K—Raiders $104K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714—Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1K—Raiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643—Jaguars $20K
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2No $15K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $3.0K——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2Over $3.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $2.4K——
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $43Yes $1.0K——
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $20No $640——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7Over $382——
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $10No $73——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $13Yes $10——