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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakeRN1sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$986K$13.4M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus51% (34 of 67 open)54% (65 of 121 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakeRN1sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5.3KBills $18K—Bills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.0KMagic $228—Magic $51K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12K—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $205Cardinals $11K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51Under $9.2K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $34Under $7.2K——
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4KBills $4.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4K——Bills $2.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.2KCardinals $1.4K——
Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $287Cardinals $2.2K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $78Under $2.2K——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $951——Yes $193
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $38Titans $1.1K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $6Cardinals $629——
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $117Under $228——
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $86Under $213——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $20Under $90——
Spread: Bills (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $4Ravens $93——
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $24——Magic $76K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $985——Cardinals $35K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161—Magic $13K
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $7.8KTitans $826——
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $5.8KTitans $1.2K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $57Over $5.4K——
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $125Bills $4.0K——
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $2.6KTitans $1.1K——
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $1.7KTitans $1.6K——
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $4Titans $2.2K——
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3KRavens $647——
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $910Titans $696——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $73Over $1.3K——
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $555Titans $766——
Spread: Titans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $77Titans $655——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $43Over $434——
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $8Titans $14——
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $13Celtics $3——