Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Miomir Kecmanovic — but Juan Manuel Cerundolo won instead.
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Resolved Juan Manuel Cerundolo. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Miomir Kecmanovic. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
36
Miomir Kecmanovic 60%
$79.3K
$-63.5K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 36 top traders (58%)21 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 65.1¢ | $22.6K | $24.0K | +$1.4K | 54% 57169-49417 (106586) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 38.8¢ | $32.5K | $23.8K | $-8.6K | 59% 46920-33175 (80095) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 64.7¢ | $15.7K | $15.9K | +$196.63 | 52% 13929-12704 (26633) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 62¢ | $4.6K | $7.1K | +$2.5K | 48% 1065-1165 (2230) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 31.2¢ | $22.5K | $4.0K | $-18.5K | 50% 19450-19817 (39267) |
 CoinTrick | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 99.9¢ | $2.8K | $2.8K | +$2.77 | 97% 3330-88 (3418) |
 HRTrading | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 56.2¢ | $278.57 | $454.9 | +$176.33 | 53% 5640-5054 (10694) |
TO topdogbigboi | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 41.1¢ | $152.75 | $364 | +$211.25 | 48% 8966-9597 (18563) |
 TRCM | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 65.2¢ | $248.34 | $277.72 | +$29.38 | 55% 3961-3190 (7151) |
0X 0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041CTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 55¢ | $325 | $265.96 | -$59.04 | 57% 227-172 (399) |
DA darkumbreon88 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 54¢ | $101.95 | $188.8 | +$86.85 | 65% 1758-962 (2720) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 55.3¢ | $47.86 | $86.59 | +$38.73 | 50% 24945-24626 (49571) |
SC SchruteBucks<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 57.3¢ | $60.45 | $23.75 | +$5.3 | 56% 1865-1449 (3314) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 57.5¢ | $11.5 | $20 | +$8.5 | 51% 1529-1481 (3010) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 56¢ | $20 | $17.86 | -$2.14 | 67% 23466-11821 (35287) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 45.1¢ | $2.4K | $0 | -$796.61 | 58% 42698-31074 (73772) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 90.7¢ | $90.71 | $0 | +$9.21 | 85% 5885-1004 (6889) |
KK KkunnCTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 21¢ | $6.3K | — | +$5.7K | 44% 235-303 (538) |
 tradecraftCTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 42.9¢ | $559.01 | — | -$56.01 | 51% 6078-5799 (11877) |
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100 | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 45¢ | $53.89 | — | -$53.89 | 61% 13793-8671 (22464) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 46.6¢ | $922.79 | — | -$922.79 | 53% 456-407 (863) |
FL flatbarrelCTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 42.3¢ | $439.87 | — | -$87.66 | 58% 2761-1975 (4736) |
US User7429<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 74¢ | $3.7 | — | +$1.3 | 55% 8413-6766 (15179) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR | Miomir Kecmanovicavg 46¢ | $950 | — | -$950 | 61% 129-81 (210) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Juan Manuel Cerundoloavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | +$2.3 | 52% 7503-6793 (14296) |
RN1Invested
$22,646.15
Value
$24.0K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
54%
57169-49417 (106586)
Invested
$32,452.31
Value
$23.8K
PnL
$-8.6K
Record
59%
46920-33175 (80095)
Invested
$15,671.03
Value
$15.9K
PnL
+$196.63
Record
52%
13929-12704 (26633)
Invested
$4,595.56
Value
$7.1K
PnL
+$2.5K
Record
48%
1065-1165 (2230)
Invested
$22,481.2
Value
$4.0K
PnL
$-18.5K
Record
50%
19450-19817 (39267)
CoinTrickInvested
$2,763.61
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$2.77
Record
97%
3330-88 (3418)
HRTradingInvested
$278.57
Value
$454.9
PnL
+$176.33
Record
53%
5640-5054 (10694)
Invested
$152.75
Value
$364
PnL
+$211.25
Record
48%
8966-9597 (18563)
TRCMInvested
$248.34
Value
$277.72
PnL
+$29.38
Record
55%
3961-3190 (7151)
Invested
$325
Value
$265.96
PnL
-$59.04
Record
57%
227-172 (399)
Invested
$101.95
Value
$188.8
PnL
+$86.85
Record
65%
1758-962 (2720)
Invested
$47.86
Value
$86.59
PnL
+$38.73
Record
50%
24945-24626 (49571)
Invested
$60.45
Value
$23.75
PnL
+$5.3
Record
56%
1865-1449 (3314)
Invested
$11.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.5
Record
51%
1529-1481 (3010)
Invested
$20
Value
$17.86
PnL
-$2.14
Record
67%
23466-11821 (35287)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$2,416.6
Value
$0
PnL
-$796.61
Record
58%
42698-31074 (73772)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$90.71
Value
$0
PnL
+$9.21
Record
85%
5885-1004 (6889)
Invested
$6,296.29
Value
—
PnL
+$5.7K
Record
44%
235-303 (538)
tradecraftCTRInvested
$559.01
Value
—
PnL
-$56.01
Record
51%
6078-5799 (11877)
Invested
$53.89
Value
—
PnL
-$53.89
Record
61%
13793-8671 (22464)
Invested
$922.79
Value
—
PnL
-$922.79
Record
53%
456-407 (863)
Invested
$439.87
Value
—
PnL
-$87.66
Record
58%
2761-1975 (4736)
Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
+$1.3
Record
55%
8413-6766 (15179)
Invested
$950
Value
—
PnL
-$950
Record
61%
129-81 (210)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
+$2.3
Record
52%
7503-6793 (14296)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $24.0K
UpTheBlues
CTRMiomir Kecmanovic — $23.8K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $15.9K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $7.1K
omnibus-076daa
CTRMiomir Kecmanovic — $4.0K
CoinTrick
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $2.8K
HRTrading
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $454.9
topdogbigboi
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $364
TRCM
Juan Manuel Cerundolo — $277.72
0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041
CTRMiomir Kecmanovic — $265.96