Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 72%
$2.2K
$60.93
Smart Money Signal
14 of 22 top traders (64%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$22.92 | 93% 24345-1811 (26156) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $197.12 | $210 | +$12.88 | 57% 6774-5011 (11785) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 69.9¢ | $184.53 | $195.73 | +$11.19 | 54% 11314-9626 (20940) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $38.25 | $72.92 | +$34.67 | 57% 12763-9487 (22250) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $67.08 | $70.16 | +$3.08 | 66% 127130-65419 (192549) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $55.54 | $56.65 | +$7.85 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $42.05 | $45 | +$2.95 | 64% 40650-23332 (63982) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $46.61 | $40.99 | -$5.62 | 58% 61097-44619 (105716) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 84.3¢ | $31.13 | $36.92 | +$5.79 | 52% 91337-85780 (177117) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $29.77 | $36.63 | +$6.86 | 61% 96070-60558 (156628) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $9.62 | $21.27 | +$11.65 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $18.8 | $15.29 | -$3.51 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $6.5 | $13 | +$6.5 | 54% 14581-12428 (27009) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.3¢ | $22.48 | — | -$22.48 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
AS asabovesobelow2CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $4.75 | — | -$4.75 | 68% 1710-800 (2510) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $10.5 | — | -$10.5 | 73% 95066-35700 (130766) |
TH TheImpasseCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 22% 145-528 (673) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 56% 58651-45296 (103947) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $16.82 | — | -$12.96 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
Invested
$1,318.08
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$22.92
Record
93%
24345-1811 (26156)
Invested
$197.12
Value
$210
PnL
+$12.88
Record
57%
6774-5011 (11785)
Invested
$184.53
Value
$195.73
PnL
+$11.19
Record
54%
11314-9626 (20940)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$72.92
PnL
+$34.67
Record
57%
12763-9487 (22250)
Invested
$67.08
Value
$70.16
PnL
+$3.08
Record
66%
127130-65419 (192549)
Invested
$55.54
Value
$56.65
PnL
+$7.85
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
ohioism<$100Invested
$42.05
Value
$45
PnL
+$2.95
Record
64%
40650-23332 (63982)
Invested
$46.61
Value
$40.99
PnL
-$5.62
Record
58%
61097-44619 (105716)
Invested
$31.13
Value
$36.92
PnL
+$5.79
Record
52%
91337-85780 (177117)
Invested
$29.77
Value
$36.63
PnL
+$6.86
Record
61%
96070-60558 (156628)
Invested
$9.62
Value
$21.27
PnL
+$11.65
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
$18.8
Value
$15.29
PnL
-$3.51
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
Invested
$6.5
Value
$13
PnL
+$6.5
Record
54%
14581-12428 (27009)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$22.48
Value
—
PnL
-$22.48
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$4.75
Value
—
PnL
-$4.75
Record
68%
1710-800 (2510)
Invested
$10.5
Value
—
PnL
-$10.5
Record
73%
95066-35700 (130766)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
22%
145-528 (673)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
56%
58651-45296 (103947)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
Invested
$16.82
Value
—
PnL
-$12.96
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $210
thesidehustle
Down — $195.73
wowitsamazing
Down — $72.92
asdaefef
Down — $70.16
aaa221
Down — $56.65
ohioism
Down — $45
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $40.99
dvasdkasodk
Down — $36.92
asidjasiodja
Down — $36.63