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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (3094–1604, n=4698) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $213K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 74% (237 of 322 open) | 58% (88 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 58) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 159) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 361) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 1156) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
64 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $414 | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $775 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8 | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $28K | No $11K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | Daniel Milavsky $173 | Max Hans Rehberg $6.6K |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $6.5K | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | Under $18 |
| SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.4K | Under $1.2K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.0K | No $353 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.5K | No $803 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.0K | No $82 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $520 |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.0K | Yes $12 |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999 | — | FC København $987 | SK Iberia 1999 $952 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $742 | Yes $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $44 |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | Yes $120 |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $853 | Yes $677 |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $6 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $10 |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | — | FC Lugano $1.5K | FK Kauno Žalgiris $2 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $645 | Over $675 |
| Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | Yes $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $89 | Over $1.1K | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $468 | No $596 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $673 | Yes $174 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $600 | No $27 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | — | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551 | Jesse Flores $16 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $82 | Yes $377 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $358 | Over $67 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | — | Elmer Moeller $387 | Joao Lucas Da Silva $25 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $189 | Over $25 |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | — | Maria Sholokhova $5 | Victoria Rodriguez $173 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | Anna Siskova $60 | Isis Louise Van den Broek $72 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $31 | Under $33 |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $42 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Over $29 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $49K | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $47K | No $20K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $40K | Yes $18K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $21K | No $10K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $18K |