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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (3093–1604, n=4697)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$212K$3.3M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)75% (171 of 228 open)no open consensus position53% (19 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7KUnder $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7KUnder $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5KOver $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $414Yes $466—No $529
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $755Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $8No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
—Zhibek Kulambayeva $3.9K—Mai Hontama $33K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $1.0K—Tiphanie Lemaitre $225
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $92Over $1.0K——
W35 Liberec: Alena Kovackova vs Lenka Munzarova
opposite sides · consensus Alena Kovackova
—Alena Kovackova $152—Lenka Munzarova $932
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $273—Mary Stoiana $573
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24No $548——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $8—Tom Gentzsch $74
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $12K—Alexandra Eala $41K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $4.7K—Coleman Wong $10K
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.0K—Matteo Martineau $2.0K
M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $22—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $388——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $411——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $439——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
same side · consensus Veronika Podrez
—Veronika Podrez $40—Veronika Podrez $263
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42