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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xbf2342fds234423dFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)no settled market52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #52—PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (22 of 30 open)no open consensus position71% (128 of 181 open)60% (26 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xbf2342fds234423dFlaznorpRN1
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $305K—Dplus KIA $30—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678
Will Inter San Carlos win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $399No $221
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $81Warriors $500
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Heat $444Warriors $107
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
——James Kent Trotter $851James Kent Trotter $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5K—Utah $382—
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KOver $2.4K
Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $1.8K
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K—East Texas A&M Lions $392—
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
——Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.8K—Rider Broncs $276—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $301No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $656No $685
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
——Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $877Under $322
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $578Over $289
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $462No $267
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $588Under $34
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $171No $440
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $243Canucks $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $8Under $313
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $174Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $171Yes $49
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
——No $148No $33
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $18Under $11