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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHaradwaithRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)40% (3385–5153, n=8538)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M-$465K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23PM monthly #279PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)69% (283 of 410 open)70% (380 of 544 open)58% (102 of 175 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)53% (won 3% of 2055)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 35% of 170)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 54% of 178)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)38% (won 89% of 1442)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

83 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHaradwaithRN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $7.2K—No $8.3K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870Julia Riera $1.3K—Renata Zarazua $988
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $3.0K—Under $14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773No $22K—No $4.2K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29No $11K—No $468
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161No $3.3K—No $213
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.5K—Over $9.6K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3K—Yes $235
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7K—Over $3.9K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $521—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3K—Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Over $470
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.1K—Yes $62
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K—Lavinia Tanasie $5
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $216—Under $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $175—Over $1.5K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Under $422
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880—Over $725
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $985—Yes $319
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $819—Yes $224
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $70—No $945—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $340—No $585
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $682—Yes $152
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686—Lisa Pigato $48
M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance
opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee
—Keaton Hance $172—Jordan Lee $556
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $554—Yes $125
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $671—Over $1
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $78—Yes $515
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6—Over $502
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $387—No $89
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $311—Yes $20
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $299—Over $13
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23—Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17—Sofia Johnson $225
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108—Warriors $129
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $176—Over $7
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $106——Yes $9
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $60—Jo-Yee Chan $36
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $54—Under $29
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $74—Over $7
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $62—Under $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29