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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (6382–6570, n=12952)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$5.3M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus73% (22 of 30 open)71% (125 of 177 open)no open consensus position50% (12 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 99% of 141)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)52% (won 100% of 332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499—No $374
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $305KDplus KIA $30——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $2
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $816
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5KUtah $382——
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $392——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $47
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.8KRider Broncs $276——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $45
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $586—Under $36
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $596—No $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $466—Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $476—Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $293—Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $229—Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $2
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $8
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5