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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpmildwindow27RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)36% (5203–9172, n=14375)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M-$144K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #319PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (16 of 27 open)76% (193 of 254 open)71% (62 of 87 open)65% (96 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −4 pts, n=1229—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)54% (won 1% of 2673)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)2% (won 43% of 124)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)4% (won 55% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)40% (won 96% of 1974)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

50 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpmildwindow27RN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21KNo $32K—No $14K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.2K—Under $6
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $206KYes $41K—Yes $19K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $50K—No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $47K—No $20K
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $2.7K—No $166
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17PFK CSKA Sofia $2.0K—PFK CSKA Sofia $43
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49No $403—No $79
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $58K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $22KCasper Ruud $43K——
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25K—Yes $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.5K—Over $4
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $11——Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $8.4K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $6.9K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $4.5K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K——Under $8
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $574
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0K—No $1.3K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $154—Over $2.9K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $3
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $63
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600—No $300
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $713—Yes $156
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $652—Over $185
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $143
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $178Over $333——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $432—Over $5
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $94—Yes $186
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $204——Yes $12
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60—Isis Louise Van den Broek $72
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $11—No $46
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $26—Over $27
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $19K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11K—Over $8.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.6K—Under $11K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.3K—Under $6.9K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Under $8.6K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.0K—Yes $3.9K