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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xheavy888 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4392–3296, n=7688) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $379K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #201 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (66 of 87 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=2035 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 6230 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 8% of 590) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 42% of 1641) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 61% of 2379) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 82% of 1620) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xheavy888 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | No $184K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $25 | Chiefs $88K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $40K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $14 | Magic $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $246 | — | Over $2.5K | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $226 | — | No $18 | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $8 | — | Felipe de Dios $1 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.6K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $282 | — | No $26K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $19 | — | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $71 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $60 | — | Titans $2.2K | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $434 | — | Yes $934 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | — | Under $954 | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $148 | — | No $516 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $104 | — | Over $542 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $281 | — | Under $141 | — |
| Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) same side · consensus SC Braga | FC Famalicão $5 | — | FC Famalicão $21 | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen same side · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $16 | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |