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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bb2de66666Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (48–66, n=114)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL$31K$1.4M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #826PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (79 of 118 open)71% (67 of 95 open)54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −9 pts, n=103NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won43% of 109 at avg 52¢, ROI +13%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 23% of 13)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 35% of 37)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 40% of 40)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 79% of 19)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBb2de66666Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $4.0K—Yannick Hanfmann $885
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $4.4K—James Duckworth $373
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $21