← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BiDiFakePolls | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (193–115, n=308) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $127K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #249 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (37 of 44 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 64% (98 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 226 at avg 66¢, ROI +16% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 48% of 25) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 57% of 30) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 89% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 98% of 124) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BiDiFakePolls | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | No $184K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.4K | — | No $90K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $670 | — | No $24K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | — | No $18K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.9K | — | No $10K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $745 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.0K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $747 | — |