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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10was PM monthly #983
Sides with the consensus79% (26 of 33 open)68% (132 of 193 open)59% (94 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7KHeat $79Heat $8
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $218
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $17
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $73
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $80
Hofstra Pride vs. Princeton Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Princeton Tigers
—Princeton Tigers $1.4KHofstra Pride $47
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
opposite sides · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
—East Texas A&M Lions $1.3KRice Owls $13
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $61
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Bruins $716Penguins $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $681Maria Sakkari $12
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marist Red Foxes
opposite sides · consensus Marist Red Foxes
—Marist Red Foxes $646UMBC Retrievers $5
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Utah $526Canadiens $76
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $112
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428Warriors $28
Cornell Big Red vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $428Cornell Big Red $5
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409Canucks $2
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $391Over $15
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $239Islanders $4
Spread: Devils (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Devils $202Blues $33
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $213Over $6
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $163Over $50
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Devils $188Blues $15
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $153Oilers $46
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $130Under $59
Spread: Lightning (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lightning
—Blackhawks $147Lightning $13
Spread: Bruins (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Penguins $138Bruins $13
Flyers vs. Rangers
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Flyers $86Rangers $54
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $84Over $18
Blues vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $86Under $9
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $64
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
—Golden Knights $6Red Wings $37
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Utah $3Canadiens $30
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Stars $17Blue Jackets $13
Blues vs. Devils
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Devils $10Blues $11
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $3Warriors $9
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K—Ravens $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $53
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Duke Blue Devils
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
—Duke Blue Devils $3.4KDuke Blue Devils $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $105
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
—Bruins $1.8KBruins $11
Albany Great Danes vs. Manhattan Jaspers
same side · consensus Manhattan Jaspers
—Manhattan Jaspers $1.5KManhattan Jaspers $12
Chicago State Cougars vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars
—Incarnate Word Cardinals $1.3KIncarnate Word Cardinals $30
Buffalo Bulls vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers
—Pittsburgh Panthers $1.1KPittsburgh Panthers $184
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $37
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $16
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
—South Alabama Jaguars $1.2KSouth Alabama Jaguars $86
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
same side · consensus Illinois Fighting Illini
—Illinois Fighting Illini $1.1KIllinois Fighting Illini $52