Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9XUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)65% (4210–2231, n=6441)50% (20890–20591, n=41481)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$21K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #981PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (106 of 142 open)62% (41 of 66 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9XUpTheBlues
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $73No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $81No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154Under $595
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $60Under $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $53Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494No $249No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $105Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $586Under $2Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $52Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $112—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $378
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139—No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Athletic Club $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $213Over $6—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $30Yes $71
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Tommy Paul $45Ben Shelton $32—
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djere
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $15Laslo Djere $17—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
—Sorana Cirstea $15KSorana Cirstea $42—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $85Under $5.2K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
same side · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $1.9KAlisa Oktiabreva $5—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $796
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $159Dolphins $11—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82Noma Noha Akugue $33—
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $70Under $12—