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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Record (consensus markets)48% (41–44, n=85)60% (12–8, n=20)75% (510–174, n=684)73% (221–81, n=302)
Consensus PnL-$367K$779K$59K-$1.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #1PM monthly #21was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)33% (2 of 6 open)63% (98 of 155 open)59% (107 of 180 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52K—Jazz $203Heat $35
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $9.3K—Heat $551Heat $81
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $20KCiryl Gane $46K——
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $741——Michael Zheng $37
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $549Raiders $15
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $289Under $46
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
Kent State $207——Bowling Green $73
Spread: Baylor Bears (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Yale Bulldogs
——Yale Bulldogs $246Baylor Bears $9
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Capitals $240Senators $10
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Jazz $181Heat $31
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Jazz $174Heat $34
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $61Under $129
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis Tigers
——Vanderbilt Commodores $183Memphis Tigers $3
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $136Jazz $35
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $106Jazz $13
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
——Saint Louis Billikens $112Northern Kentucky Norse $4
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks
opposite sides · consensus Kansas Jayhawks
——Kansas Jayhawks $110Kentucky Wildcats $2
Wyoming Cowboys vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina Tar Heels
——Wyoming Cowboys $77North Carolina Tar Heels $12
Commanders vs. Giants
opposite sides · consensus Giants
——Giants $23Commanders $43
Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Gators
——Florida State Seminoles $29Florida Gators $34
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $1549ers $44
Brisbane 3: August Holmgren vs Christopher O'Connell
opposite sides · consensus August Holmgren
——August Holmgren $11Christopher O'Connell $40
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 209.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14Over $31
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $21Over $19
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $11Magic $16
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
——Kings $2Magic $22
South Alabama Jaguars vs. UCF Knights
opposite sides · consensus UCF Knights
——South Alabama Jaguars $1UCF Knights $19
Army Black Knights vs. New Haven Chargers
opposite sides · consensus New Haven Chargers
——Army Black Knights $11New Haven Chargers $9
Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rutgers Scarlet Knights
——NJIT Highlanders $6Rutgers Scarlet Knights $10
Nicholls Colonels vs. Tulane Green Wave
opposite sides · consensus Tulane Green Wave
——Tulane Green Wave $8Nicholls Colonels $2
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $19K——Over $18
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $1.2KTrail Blazers $71
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 197.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $815Over $92
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——76ers $85376ers $32
Brisbane 3: James McCabe vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
——Jan Kumstat $580Jan Kumstat $32
Detroit Titans vs. Xavier Musketeers
same side · consensus Xavier Musketeers
——Xavier Musketeers $448Xavier Musketeers $27
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida
same side · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Joel Schwaerzler $441Joel Schwaerzler $28
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
——Trail Blazers $378Trail Blazers $18
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $288Celtics $27
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $258Bucks $31
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $246Bucks $39
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech Red Raiders
——Texas Tech Red Raiders $258Texas Tech Red Raiders $13
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
——Cameron Norrie $227Cameron Norrie $7
W75 Brisbane: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Olivia Gadecki
same side · consensus Sahaja Yamalapalli
——Sahaja Yamalapalli $212Sahaja Yamalapalli $14
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Magic $206Magic $11
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $184Bucks $17
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech Red Raiders
——Texas Tech Red Raiders $197Texas Tech Red Raiders $3
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $184Bucks $9
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $162Bucks $13
Washington State Cougars vs. Duquesne Dukes
same side · consensus Duquesne Dukes
——Duquesne Dukes $145Duquesne Dukes $12