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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)65% (4196–2220, n=6416)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.6M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #991
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)88% (22 of 25 open)72% (114 of 158 open)63% (40 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494No $249
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $38K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $73
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
——Robin Montgomery $3.1KMaaya Rajeshwaran Revathi $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $112
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $361Over $154
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djere
opposite sides · consensus Laslo Djere
——Matej Dodig $242Laslo Djere $17
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $213Over $6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
——BetBoom Team $43FURIA $5
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $63K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $53
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $105
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $354Under $1
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $159Dolphins $11
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $131Under $12
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Noma Noha Akugue $82Noma Noha Akugue $17