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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)65% (4199–2222, n=6421)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #994PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (127 of 182 open)63% (62 of 98 open)43% (10 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 43)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 156)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 310)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 703)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9XRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $67No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $53Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354Under $1Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $81Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $105Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $60Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $112No $529
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $13—
Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Borussia Mönchengladbach
—Hamburger SV $1.2KBorussia Mönchengladbach $10—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
76ers vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $79576ers $35—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Kilian Feldbausch $130—Sumit Nagal $670
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $213Over $6—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $183Thunder $9—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4No $3—
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7KNo $17—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $21—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $6—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $850—Over $419
Counter-Strike: your end vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus Low Cortisol
—Low Cortisol $1.1KLow Cortisol $21—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494No $249—
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $9—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $583No $27—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $53Over $248
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $224Grizzlies $47—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $211No $6—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $166Wizards $40—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $159Dolphins $11—
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $86Under $48—
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $94Under $11—
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $38Under $6—
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 210.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15Over $21—