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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tetrose
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)53% (131–115, n=246)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M$86K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)67% (127 of 190 open)61% (67 of 109 open)25% (4 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)46% (won 15% of 137)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)12% (won 80% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)16% (won 85% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)27% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tetrose
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.3KOver $85—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274Under $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $453Under $259—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Trail Blazers $93Suns $160—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $895Quentin Halys $1.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.8KLakers $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $962Under $506—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $183—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $885Lakers $13—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $444Under $151—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $88Clippers $215—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $162—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $28—