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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tetrose
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)33% (144–295, n=439)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M-$3.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensus81% (26 of 32 open)74% (147 of 200 open)61% (30 of 49 open)25% (14 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%57% of 307 at avg 41¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)45% (won 16% of 138)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)13% (won 77% of 39)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)16% (won 86% of 49)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)26% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tetrose
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.2KUnder $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $47No $361—
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $240Over $81—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $9No $200—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104Over $13—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus Clube do Remo
—SE Palmeiras $29KSE Palmeiras $15K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
—Marco Cecchinato $4.5KMarco Cecchinato $34K—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $953James Kent Trotter $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.6KUnder $1.6K—
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.0KNo $143—
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
—Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $3.1KSE Palmeiras $748—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KOver $501—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $760—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $870—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $656No $685—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $782Under $322—
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $289—
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $462No $267—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $273Canucks $354—
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $554Under $34—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $313—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—