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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBluesWinning2...
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)50% (20405–20288, n=40693)31% (881–1932, n=2813)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$14.8M$3.1M-$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7PM monthly #700
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)63% (43 of 68 open)67% (30 of 45 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=105, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=162, ROI 0%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topic———Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)52% (won 19% of 1708)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)39% (won 39% of 1283)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)9% (won 61% of 282)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1UpTheBluesWinning2...
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KUnder $23K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $130—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $161No $289—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $791—