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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdonthackmejoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (28578–16304, n=44882)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$423K$3.2M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #202PM monthly #7PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (551 of 818 open)no open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Entertainment ±0 pts, n=308——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%44% of 7491 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)50% (won 12% of 3720)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)11% (won 45% of 808)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)12% (won 66% of 893)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)28% (won 93% of 2070)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdonthackmejoseph00677RN1
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $67——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $29——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $174——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $490No $48——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $624——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $73KYes $129——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27KYes $24——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24KYes $41——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19KYes $94——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.0KYes $6——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.5KYes $120——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.4KYes $14——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $982Yes $3——
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $695Yes $2——
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $5——
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $5——
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49Yes $49——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $23——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25Yes $4——