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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankefntrickFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (282–309, n=591)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$13K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #854PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)0% (0 of 1 open)66% (100 of 152 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)1% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 100% of 14)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)21% (won 100% of 41)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)71% (won 100% of 138)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankefntrickFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.8KYes $70
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $801No $17
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Brisbane 3: Evan Zhu vs Thomas Fancutt
same side · consensus Thomas Fancutt
—Evan Zhu $18Evan Zhu $430—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29