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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | quietparcel | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 50% (14740–14843, n=29583) | 44% (6123–7723, n=13846) | 47% (12984–14433, n=27417) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.0M | $36K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #61 | PM monthly #230 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (34 of 51 open) | 62% (88 of 143 open) | 86% (204 of 237 open) | 43% (13 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −4 pts, n=594 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 60% (won 1% of 3032) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 2% (won 35% of 106) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 4% (won 60% of 183) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 34% (won 96% of 1746) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.