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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | quietparcel | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 50% (15059–15076, n=30135) | 44% (6301–8083, n=14384) | 50% (19560–19625, n=39185) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.0M | $41K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #227 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 55% (102 of 185 open) | 87% (104 of 120 open) | 70% (98 of 140 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −4 pts, n=594 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 60% (won 1% of 3032) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 2% (won 35% of 106) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 4% (won 60% of 183) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 34% (won 96% of 1746) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.