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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (15–10, n=25) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $170K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (114 of 159 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 70% (7 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 26 at avg 86¢, ROI −14% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 3) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 100% of 21) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.