Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	CustomTrader	beachboy4	BreakTheBank	joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)	9% (57–568, n=625)	68% (43–20, n=63)	45% (542–652, n=1194)	50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL	$2.7K	$5.8M	$10.6M	$5.3M
Tracked as	was PM monthly #547	was PM monthly #24	PM monthly #1	PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus	88% (66 of 75 open)	100% (2 of 2 open)	90% (149 of 165 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	Mentions +8 pts n=17, ROI −11%	NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19% Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%	NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%	Soccer +22 pts n=11, ROI +33%
Weakest topic	Elections −7 pts, n=53	NBA −6 pts, n=93	—	—
Settled positions, side won	13% of 204 at avg 21¢, ROI −3%	57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%	97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢	81% (won 7% of 165)	3% (won 17% of 6)	10% (won 82% of 56)	12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢	11% (won 23% of 22)	30% (won 57% of 63)	36% (won 98% of 198)	6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢	2% (won 0% of 5)	54% (won 51% of 115)	35% (won 99% of 191)	65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up	6% (won 83% of 12)	14% (won 86% of 29)	19% (won 100% of 107)	18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

65 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	CustomTrader	beachboy4	BreakTheBank	joseph00677
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $547	—	Yes $40K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $499	—	Yes $20K	—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $497	—	Yes $14K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $435	—	Yes $14K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $268	—	Yes $10K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $18	—	Yes $15K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	Yes $12K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $9.3K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	Yes $9.3K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.7K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.7K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.7K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	Yes $2.1K	—