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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMichael-The-TaxiarchprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)57% (55–41, n=96)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$31K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #539PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (130 of 177 open)55% (6 of 11 open)no open consensus position50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)45% (won 7% of 44)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)12% (won 50% of 12)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)10% (won 70% of 10)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 97% of 32)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMichael-The-TaxiarchprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754——Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831——Yes $61
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $1.9K——Yosuke Watanuki $280
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861——Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $182——Harold Mayot $159
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $249——Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116——Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $42