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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | RN1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) | 27% (296–816, n=1112) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $14.8M | $33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #121 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (301 of 434 open) | 63% (123 of 196 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=182 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 52% (won 3% of 256) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 6% (won 32% of 28) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 7% (won 64% of 36) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 35% (won 95% of 172) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
92 on the same side, 56 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | Arthur Fils $8.8K | Taylor Fritz $29K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AC Milan | AC Milan $13K | Ferencvárosi TC $1.2K | — |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.7K | Over $9.6K | — |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $235 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.7K | Over $3.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.9K | Under $750 | — |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | Daniel Milavsky $778 | Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.4K | Yes $85 | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | Over $470 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K | Lavinia Tanasie $5 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $515 | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $23 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $454 | No $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $880 | Over $725 | — |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $404 | Over $1.2K | — |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Over $289 | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | Over $13 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | No $104 | — |
| Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $359 | Under $849 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $446 | Over $675 | — |
| Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | Yes $16 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | No $819 | Yes $224 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee | Keaton Hance $425 | Jordan Lee $556 | — |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $674 | No $202 | — |
| Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $199 | No $627 | — |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | Greet Minnen $686 | Lisa Pigato $48 | — |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $210 | Yes $515 | — |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $693 | Over $1 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova opposite sides · consensus Valeriya Strakhova | Anastasia Tikhonova $429 | Valeriya Strakhova $196 | — |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $6 | Over $502 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $387 | No $89 | — |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $398 | Over $71 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14 | Yes $431 | — |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $327 | Over $14 | — |
| AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $311 | Yes $20 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17 | Sofia Johnson $249 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | Ivan Gakhov $225 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $108 | Warriors $129 | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $176 | Over $7 | — |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $106 | Over $38 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | Cadence Brace $60 | Jo-Yee Chan $36 | — |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $67 | Yes $11 | — |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry opposite sides · consensus Luciana Perry | Sloane Stephens $46 | Luciana Perry $27 | — |