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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1Vale54holi
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)39% (291–447, n=738)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #50PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus61% (135 of 220 open)no open consensus position61% (75 of 123 open)83% (350 of 424 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1Vale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274—Under $1.7K—
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $1.3K—Pelicans $280—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $996—Under $106—
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $972—Raptors $130—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $555—Raptors $275—
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $91—Over $351—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $388—Over $46—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $246—Under $169—
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $138—Under $196—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Trail Blazers $216—Suns $6—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $19—Trail Blazers $99—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $2.0K—Pelicans $143—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861—Quentin Halys $1.2K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $1.8K—Pelicans $135—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.7K—Spurs $183—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $1.6K—Pelicans $125—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.4K—Lakers $3—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $1.1K—Timberwolves $130—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $1.1K—Lakers $17—
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $796—Jazz $101—
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $702—Timberwolves $159—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $358—Under $151—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $449—Over $29—
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $30—Over $377—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $19—Clippers $268—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $70—Suns $160—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $28—