Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1UpTheBluesVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)50% (19442–19516, n=38958)40% (207–305, n=512)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$14.8M$3.1M$117K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #8PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus69% (137 of 200 open)46% (16 of 35 open)64% (30 of 47 open)62% (13 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)7% (won 99% of 2777)61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)20% (won 100% of 8217)3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 8818)4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)51% (won 100% of 20793)32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1UpTheBluesVale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $941Under $21K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $1.5KYes $5.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $927Over $2.9KUnder $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $7No $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $35Under $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $44No $1.2KYes $47—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $117Yes $162No $288—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.9KNo $1.6KNo $3.6K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115No $3.3KNo $3.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $6.7KTalia Gibson $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382Under $7.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420—Under $762—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466No $529——
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $559—Yes $162—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $495—Yes $192—
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
Aoi Ito $92Katie Swan $281——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $90No $139—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $191—Yes $2—
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
Naho Sato $30Jia-Jing Lu $154——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $94—Yes $3—
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
Alisa Oktiabreva $54Antonia Stoyanov $19——
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $57—Under $4—
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $46—Yes $3—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39KUnder $45——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Katie Boulter $598Katie Boulter $19K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.4K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $503—No $16K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $639—Under $2.6K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $1.2K—
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
Yujia Huang $85Yujia Huang $2.1K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—Yes $161—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379No $662——
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $749—Yes $273—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $163—Under $741—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $304—Under $402—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $666—Over $5—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239Under $46——
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi $169Yuzuha Negishi $105——
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
Sara Saito $2Sara Saito $228——
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $206—CD Pamplona $10—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $56Under $44—
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
Benjamin Pietri $13Benjamin Pietri $76——