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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphaveagooddayRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)38% (1487–2470, n=3957)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$31K$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #127PM monthly #23 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus70% (168 of 239 open)68% (38 of 56 open)58% (22 of 38 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −3 pts, n=555——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)32% (won 1% of 760)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 42% of 101)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)7% (won 63% of 156)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)58% (won 96% of 1382)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveagooddayRN1sainttroplay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $943—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $210—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $853—Yes $52—
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
Marcel Zielinski $136—Carles Hernandez $26—
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $25K—Quentin Halys $40K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
Jeline Vandromme $6.4K—Jeline Vandromme $12K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K—No $1.5K—
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $2.1K—Samuele Pieri $1.6K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.3K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $100—Under $1.1K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $380—No $663—
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $252—Over $668—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
Pavlos Tsitsipas $457—Pavlos Tsitsipas $10—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $162—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—