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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphoward22222RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)42% (135–189, n=324)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$26K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (74 of 112 open)100% (1 of 1 open)58% (36 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +8 pts n=113, ROI +27%
  • NBA +4 pts n=15, ROI −4%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −12 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%46% of 228 at avg 45¢, ROI +21%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)18% (won 12% of 42)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)35% (won 40% of 80)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)42% (won 63% of 95)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 82% of 11)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphoward22222RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $4.0K—Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $487—Nets $146
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $63—Richmond Spiders $217
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $107—Under $116
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $37K—No $3.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $3.6K
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $3.2K—Richmond Spiders $643
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $1.6K
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $711—No $1.4K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $903—No $2
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612—Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
Bakersfield Roadrunners $31—Bakersfield Roadrunners $114