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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorphoward22222RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)42% (135–189, n=324)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$26K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (35 of 40 open)66% (76 of 115 open)100% (1 of 1 open)55% (36 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +8 pts n=113, ROI +27%
  • NBA +4 pts n=15, ROI −4%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −12 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%46% of 228 at avg 45¢, ROI +21%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)18% (won 12% of 42)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)35% (won 40% of 80)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)42% (won 63% of 95)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 82% of 11)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorphoward22222RN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K——Texans $8.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $4.0K—Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $499—Nets $144
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Temple Owls $63—Richmond Spiders $217
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $107—Under $116
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K——Packers $489
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124K——Seahawks $3.9K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K——Packers $4.0K
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $35K—No $3.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $3.6K
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Richmond Spiders $3.2K—Richmond Spiders $643
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $2.2K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $3.0K—Lakers $9
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
—Nevada Wolf Pack $898—Nevada Wolf Pack $487
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $871—Lakers $19
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Pistons $616—Pistons $228
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $612—Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
—Bakersfield Roadrunners $26—Bakersfield Roadrunners $109