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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677pleaseplease123RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6275–5714, n=11989)53% (10–9, n=19)49% (346–353, n=699)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$5.6M-$765K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2was PM monthly #92PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (190 of 255 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (34 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 43% of 266)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)61% (won 54% of 426)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)0%32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677pleaseplease123RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Etcheverry
opposite sides · consensus Andrey Rublev
Tomas Etcheverry $7.7K——Andrey Rublev $28K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $927——Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Rolex Paris Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Brandon Nakashima $2.0K——Matteo Berrettini $308
Beijing Guoan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $491——Yes $1.6K
Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $11——Rada Zolotareva $1.8K
Luanda: Gina Feistel vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
Gina Feistel $897——Linda Klimovicova $463
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Laura Svatikova
opposite sides · consensus Antonia Stoyanov
Antonia Stoyanov $1.1K——Laura Svatikova $179
W50 Heraklion: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Katerina Tsygourova
opposite sides · consensus Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
Katerina Tsygourova $46——Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $301——No $702
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $649——Over $264
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $192——Over $266
M25 Valencia: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Yanaki Milev
opposite sides · consensus Izan Almazan Valiente
Izan Almazan Valiente $81——Yanaki Milev $96
M25 Valencia: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Iannis Miletich
opposite sides · consensus Iannis Miletich
Iannis Miletich $5——Svyatoslav Gulin $90
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2——Under $91
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $38K——Under $46
Chennai Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $4.5K——Polina Kudermetova $19K
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $10K——Under $7.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
Manchester United FC $12K——Manchester United FC $2.3K
Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $9.1K——No $1.7K
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.0K——Under $3.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.5K——No $1.4K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova
same side · consensus Moyuka Uchijima
Rebecca Sramkova $277——Rebecca Sramkova $4.7K
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $161——Under $4.4K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115——No $3.3K
Will Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $235
Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Port FC
Port FC $1.6K——Port FC $11
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $88——No $1.3K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Sada Nahimana
same side · consensus Sada Nahimana
Franziska Sziedat $1.1K——Franziska Sziedat $75
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $388——No $677
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Lucas Poullain $259——Lucas Poullain $545
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $748——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
W50 Heraklion: Elena Korokozidi vs Maria Sara Popa
same side · consensus Elena Korokozidi
Elena Korokozidi $33——Elena Korokozidi $541
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $331——Under $43
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $278——Under $15
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $242——Under $47
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117——Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Exact Score: Port FC 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan?
same side · consensus No
No $77——No $61
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17——Under $48