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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (94 of 160 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 52% (56 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $145 | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $115 | Magic $76K | — | — |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $73 | — | — | Under $9.2K |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS | DENDELE CS $4 | — | Imperial $7.9K | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $47 | — | — | Over $7.0K |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich | Dylan Dietrich $1 | — | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Jangjun Kim $4 | — | — | Ozan Baris $4.0K |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $43 | — | — | Over $2.5K |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32 | — | — | No $2.2K |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $61 | — | — | Yes $934 |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | Yes $648 |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | — | Over $207 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | — | — | Under $190 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | — | Over $142 |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | — | — | Felipe de Dios $1 |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13 | — | — | Yes $102 |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $23 | — | — | Over $39 |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $32 | — | — | Under $30 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | — | — | Over $12 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | — | Over $50 |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $5 | — | — | Nicolas Bruna $17 |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | — | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 |
| Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | — | Under $4 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $110 | — | — | No $6.7K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gabriel Schenekenberg vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl same side · consensus Joao Eduardo Schiessl | Joao Eduardo Schiessl $4 | — | — | Joao Eduardo Schiessl $4.3K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $37 | — | — | No $4.1K |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $44 | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $70 | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? same side · consensus No | No $1 | — | — | No $2.1K |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $2.1K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $4 | — | — | Toulouse FC $1.8K |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | No $9 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $88 | — | — | Under $954 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $159 | — | — | No $516 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | — | — | Under $643 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | — | Over $526 |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17 | — | — | Under $335 |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | — | — | Ryan Seggerman $294 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $64 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | — | No $227 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $39 | — | — | No $185 |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $22 | — | — | Under $141 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $133 | — | — | No $18 |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | — | — | Yes $108 |
| SSC Napoli leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $18 | — | — | No $4 |