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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RememberAmalekRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)61% (731–459, n=1190)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$675K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #881 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus55% (61 of 110 open)71% (15 of 21 open)74% (72 of 97 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won73% of 1140 at avg 61¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 21% of 276)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 63% of 150)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 83% of 167)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 98% of 547)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRememberAmalekRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $59K—No $412K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $77K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $154—No $24K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.4K—Yes $272K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—Yes $169K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $102K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $159—Yes $73K—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $64—Yes $56K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $15K—No $40K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $45—Yes $26K—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24—Yes $24K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20—Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23—Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20—Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15—Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $6.4K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $5.7K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11—Yes $943—
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $904—