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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| afraz | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (249–155, n=404) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.0K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #645 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 73% (110 of 151 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −9 pts, n=102 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 368 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 23% of 40) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 41% of 110) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 63% of 142) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 74% of 76) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | afraz | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $288 | Jaguars $8.0K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $2.0K | Heat $79 | Warriors $520 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Magic $1.2K | Suns $860 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.1K | — | Jaguars $180 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | — | Suns $1.0K | Magic $64 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | — | Diletta Cherubini $281 | Ipek Oz $678 |
| Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $757 | Yes $11 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Heat $428 | Warriors $110 |
| South Florida Bulls vs. DePaul Blue Demons opposite sides · consensus DePaul Blue Demons | — | — | DePaul Blue Demons $405 | South Florida Bulls $16 |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Magic $230 | Suns $26 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $3.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu | — | — | Yuta Shimizu $1.3K | Yuta Shimizu $407 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $636 |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars | — | — | South Alabama Jaguars $784 | South Alabama Jaguars $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $21 | Southern Miss $498 |
| Spread: Warriors (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $336 | Heat $118 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $422 | Magic $24 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $8 | Under $321 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $155 | Warriors $97 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) same side · consensus Ducks | — | — | Ducks $10 | Ducks $132 |
| Spread: Oilers (-2.5) same side · consensus Ducks | — | — | Oilers $24 | Oilers $10 |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $28 | Over $3 |