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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akrollbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)26% (443–1232, n=1675)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$38K—$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #78—PM monthly #11PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (29 of 38 open)no open consensus position65% (132 of 202 open)65% (26 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=189—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won46% of 564 at avg 47¢, ROI +12%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢47% (won 2% of 266)—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 40% of 30)—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 59% of 37)—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 231)—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketakrollbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
——Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
——Borna Gojo $4.0KNikoloz Basilashvili $623
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Will Çorum FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $87No $68
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $12K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
——Lorenzo Sonego $1.9KLorenzo Sonego $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.4KNo $5.8K
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.3KYes $97
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
——No $474No $362
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29