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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)53% (2481–2221, n=4702)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$12K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #10was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (28 of 35 open)74% (100 of 136 open)53% (26 of 49 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 96% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 333)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 527)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 97% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelen
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KHeat $1.2K—
Heat vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $821—Heat $5
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $213No $9
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $199Under $2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $183Under $10
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $144Heat $6
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $6
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
——Suns $15KSuns $9
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.2KNo $21
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.9KNo $1.0K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.0KOver $6
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KOver $9
Will CS Herediano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $13
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $9
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $913No $82
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $597No $374
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
——Harold Mayot $890Harold Mayot $10
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $870No $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $499No $307
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $519Over $10
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $504No $9
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $300No $10
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $283No $10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $173No $2
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
——Tommy Paul $45Tommy Paul $10