Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)49% (6334–6517, n=12851)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M-$15K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #673
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (15 of 28 open)78% (124 of 160 open)57% (13 of 23 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $2
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $36
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $14KUnder $873
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $499No $374
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $24
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $549No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $466Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $476Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $343Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $293Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $226Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $7