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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dartanyan150primmRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (279–201, n=480)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$10K$3.6M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #934PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (10 of 12 open)65% (37 of 57 open)66% (41 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 234 at avg 67¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 78% of 9)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 95% of 113)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 98% of 111)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdartanyan150primmRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $4.7KBears $10K—
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $2.7KBears $5.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $28KBuccaneers $17K—
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K—
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.8KOver $652—
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $2.4KBuccaneers $4.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $93Buccaneers $4.8K—
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
—Bears $3.5KBears $362—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $723Buccaneers $821—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $67
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801