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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ghorrockRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (6180–5500, n=11680)48% (12899–14013, n=26912)45% (537–647, n=1184)
Consensus PnL-$16K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (184 of 275 open)67% (6 of 9 open)73% (78 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 87% of 90)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 369)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 401)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1208)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketghorrockRN1BreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $212—Yes $72K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $91—No $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13—Yes $13K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $252—Yes $4.1K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $149—Yes $1.3K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $306—No $753
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $13—Commanders $1.2M
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $186—No $101K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $403—No $35K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $423—No $23K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $216—Yes $21K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $307—Yes $17K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $134—No $11K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $67—Yes $4.9K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $419—Yes $4.5K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $133—Yes $3.8K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24—Yes $2.4K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $1.3K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $101—Yes $903
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $222—Yes $28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8—Yes $221
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $132
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $80
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $37