← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3354–3504, n=6858) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$184K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (43 of 70 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4796 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 894) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 490) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 737) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2675) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lissartter | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $1.7K | Commanders $28K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.1K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $525 | — | Yes $75K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.0K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $491 | — | Under $655 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $278K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $11K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $164 | — | No $202K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $188K | Commanders $1.3K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $301 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $870 | — | No $34K | — |