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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$243K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus58% (19 of 33 open)54% (64 of 119 open)72% (73 of 101 open)68% (13 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1299)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3086)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4188)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $192Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $28Bills $93—Bills $662
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14Over $7.0K——
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $2.6K——
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $8
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1Under $1.0K——
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2Under $643——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $434—Under $65
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10Yes $108——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8No $26——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1No $26K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $261
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $3.0K——
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.5K—Bills $282
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $2.4K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $10No $516——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7Over $382——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $13Yes $10——