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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmquietparcelRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)41% (6786–9634, n=16420)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$115K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #48PM monthly #241PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus57% (8 of 14 open)83% (69 of 83 open)55% (46 of 84 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Mentions −4 pts, n=646——
Settled positions, side won99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)58% (won 1% of 3260)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 412)2% (won 39% of 118)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 99% of 503)4% (won 60% of 198)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)36% (won 96% of 2049)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmquietparcelRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
James Madison $2.2K—Southern Miss $434—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $888—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $4—Jaguars $2.4K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8K—Over $231—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $640—Over $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $1.1K—UTSA $242—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $698—Under $469—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $599—Over $458—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $510—Jaguars $180—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $24K—Florida Atlantic $15K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $47—Southern Miss $353—