Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 84%
$2.5K
$501.16
Smart Money Signal
21 of 25 top traders (84%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 70.5¢ | $775.12 | $789.11 | +$13.99 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $217.22 | $219.41 | +$2.19 | 93% 24291-1810 (26101) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 73.4¢ | $169.81 | $179 | +$9.19 | 54% 11305-9617 (20922) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 53.1¢ | $205.87 | $388 | +$182.13 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 65.8¢ | $78.24 | $96.53 | +$18.29 | 57% 6774-5010 (11784) |
AL almach | Downavg 50.3¢ | $64.51 | $128.16 | +$63.65 | 55% 48790-40333 (89123) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 52.2¢ | $104.3 | $200 | +$95.7 | 35% 19115-36121 (55236) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 62.4¢ | $73.04 | $116.38 | +$43.34 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 53.6¢ | $40.51 | $65 | +$24.49 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 66.2¢ | $43.88 | $54.3 | +$10.42 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $38.43 | $46.64 | +$8.21 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $59.5 | $50 | +$23.2 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $20.88 | $32.61 | +$11.73 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 55.8¢ | $41.25 | $73.92 | +$32.67 | 57% 12757-9483 (22240) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $58.15 | $18.26 | +$2.13 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $18.63 | $19.99 | +$1.36 | 43% 655-857 (1512) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $12.81 | $15.82 | +$3.01 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $24.05 | — | -$24.05 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $7.91 | $11.38 | +$3.47 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $27.18 | — | -$27.18 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $7.75 | — | -$7.75 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $9.94 | $16.86 | +$6.92 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $4 | $5.71 | +$1.71 | 68% 1705-798 (2503) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | $10 | +$5.3 | 58% 51347-37467 (88814) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 50% 7975-8010 (15985) |
Invested
$775.12
Value
$789.11
PnL
+$13.99
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$217.22
Value
$219.41
PnL
+$2.19
Record
93%
24291-1810 (26101)
Invested
$169.81
Value
$179
PnL
+$9.19
Record
54%
11305-9617 (20922)
Invested
$205.87
Value
$388
PnL
+$182.13
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$78.24
Value
$96.53
PnL
+$18.29
Record
57%
6774-5010 (11784)
Invested
$64.51
Value
$128.16
PnL
+$63.65
Record
55%
48790-40333 (89123)
Invested
$104.3
Value
$200
PnL
+$95.7
Record
35%
19115-36121 (55236)
Invested
$73.04
Value
$116.38
PnL
+$43.34
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
Invested
$40.51
Value
$65
PnL
+$24.49
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$43.88
Value
$54.3
PnL
+$10.42
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$38.43
Value
$46.64
PnL
+$8.21
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$59.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$23.2
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$20.88
Value
$32.61
PnL
+$11.73
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
$73.92
PnL
+$32.67
Record
57%
12757-9483 (22240)
Invested
$58.15
Value
$18.26
PnL
+$2.13
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$18.63
Value
$19.99
PnL
+$1.36
Record
43%
655-857 (1512)
Invested
$12.81
Value
$15.82
PnL
+$3.01
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$24.05
Value
—
PnL
-$24.05
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$7.91
Value
$11.38
PnL
+$3.47
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
Invested
$27.18
Value
—
PnL
-$27.18
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.75
Value
—
PnL
-$7.75
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$9.94
Value
$16.86
PnL
+$6.92
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$4
Value
$5.71
PnL
+$1.71
Record
68%
1705-798 (2503)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.3
Record
58%
51347-37467 (88814)
Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
50%
7975-8010 (15985)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $789.11
hoodquant
Down — $219.41
thesidehustle
Down — $179
wzbbb
Down — $388
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $96.53
almach
Down — $128.16
Little-big
Down — $200
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $116.38
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $65
asdaefef
Down — $54.3