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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BiggggggggBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)41% (1389–2029, n=3418)45% (571–700, n=1271)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$559K$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #123PM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)86% (924 of 1070 open)52% (12 of 23 open)56% (76 of 135 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Economy −5 pts, n=109——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)30% (won 7% of 1163)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)5% (won 43% of 182)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)5% (won 68% of 179)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)60% (won 97% of 2298)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BiggggggggBreakTheBankRN1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $50KNo $452——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $17KYes $21K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23KYes $15K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $30KPelicans $125
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $21KYes $3.6K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19KYes $31—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18KYes $1.0K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $19KPelicans $135
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $15KYes $2.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $12K——Lakers $3
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $149No $6.9K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.2KYes $132—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.3KYes $28—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $353Yes $3.3K—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $323Pelicans $143
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $765K—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $774—Jazz $75K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $26K——Central Michigan $1.1K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14KNo $7.2K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.9KNo $12K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $774No $15K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $1.0K—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K——Raptors $275
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $314——Spurs $186