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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1strominion
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)71% (272 of 383 open)58% (75 of 130 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

64 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1strominion
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870Julia Riera $1.5KRenata Zarazua $482—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $2.5KUnder $14—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773No $21KNo $1.5K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29No $8.1KNo $315—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161No $3.2KNo $68—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KOver $1.9K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $8.3K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.9KYes $22—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $356Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KOver $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KUnder $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $327No $585—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $321Over $502—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $679Yes $42—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $450Yes $125—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $32Yes $541—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $232Under $103—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $20Sofia Johnson $213—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $106—Yes $1—
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $60Jo-Yee Chan $36—
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $67Under $4—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $32Over $13—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $29—
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13Yes $4—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10Yes $4—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $30KUnder $2.0K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $11K—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18KUnder $4.2K—
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.6KYes $15K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.5KUnder $8.9K—
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $13KAS Omónoia Leukosías $3—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.9KUnder $128—
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.6KNo $1.2K—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.4KOver $180—
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $5.9KFerencvárosi TC $1.9K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $2.4K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.1KUnder $15—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $3.0K—