Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HRAImail-.-RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)89% (17–2, n=19)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)50% (20851–20547, n=41398)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$61K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #469PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)44% (4 of 9 open)49% (25 of 51 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%90% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)0%22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)90% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HRAImail-.-RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K—Alice Tubello $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796