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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | shineforever | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) | 53% (72–63, n=135) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $14.8M | $136K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #224 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (17 of 24 open) | 49% (19 of 39 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 63% (won 4% of 77) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 2% (won 67% of 3) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 2% (won 50% of 2) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 33% (won 100% of 41) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | shineforever | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $69 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $192 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | — | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | — | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | — | Under $796 |