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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #127PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)77% (20 of 26 open)75% (173 of 230 open)52% (33 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $143KTaylor Fritz $3.4KCarlos Alcaraz $4.3KTaylor Fritz $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13KOver $1.6K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $6.2KAidan Mayo $3.8KMax Hans Rehberg $36
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $8.5KCarlo Alberto Caniato $20Carlo Alberto Caniato $297
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $1.9KCeltics $222Hornets $116
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.4K76ers $188Cavaliers $108
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.8K—No $1.8K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $943—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $3.6K—Julia Riera $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.8KOver $23—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $565Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $268Ipek Oz $680
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $700—Under $144
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $348Under $81
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $278Under $5
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3Juan Carlos Prado $268
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $145KLuca Van Assche $35K—
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $18KNo $22K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.8KNo $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $830—
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $6.5K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $5.9K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $2.5K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Zsombor Piros $3—Zsombor Piros $1.8K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $947No $814
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $383Over $1.2K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $375Under $1.2K—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $118Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.1KUnder $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $104Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $690
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $512Wizards $172—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $357Kings $110
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192